Blue Sky Financial Blog

Blue Sky Reaction to Mortgage Arrears Report

Blue Sky Financial says that distressed mortgagors will be very disappointed with the inter-departmental report published today.

“The tone of this report is almost antagonistic towards distressed mortgagors and the best it ultimately offers is the replacement of ownership with social housing tenancy demonstrating a complete lack of understanding of our innate  home ownership psyche. It is most peculiar that a report instigated with, one presumes, a remit to advise on how best to help distressed mortgagors actually advises curtailment of mortgage interest relief and reducing mortgage interest supplements coupled with another mini bank bailout by the state as it acquires more property under a mass social housing scheme.”

 Throw in a brand new quango and a time frame of “sometime in the future” and  you clearly understand that this report was compiled mainly by civil servants and a couple of bank officials for their owners—the government. In it’s preamble referring to debt forgiveness it states that it would be “impossible for the state to target resources at those most in need.”  I suggest it should not be that difficult and ask “why?”  The information is available to the large numbers of bank mortgage arrears teams most of which are already in place. Consider the following statements; “some people will lose their homes”

“mortgage interest supplement should be limited”

“increase in mortgage interest relief would not make much difference to those in difficulty”

“mortgage relief is not a good idea and should  be curtailed”

“benefits of mortgage relief are questionable”

 Do they sound as if they want to help distressed mortgagors?

Blue Sky unveils Debt Forgiveness Campaign

Press release : 04/10/11  Blue Sky unveils Debt Forgiveness Campaign. Blue Sky Financial, the personal finance services franchise, has launched a web based campaign to garner support for a planned strategy to tackle debt forgiveness and mortgage write-downs.  Blue Sky management believes that there is no genuine backing from banks or government for a well thought out programme that will deliver adequate relief to hard up mortgage holders within a realistic timeframe.  ‘’Banking and government spokespeople continually talk about mortgage arrears and negative equity being dealt with on a ‘case by case basis’ but in my opinion this is a misnomer for ‘do nothing’, Blue Sky C.E.O. Paddy Greene stated. Greene emphasised that at this stage all his company was doing was asking mortgagors if they wanted representation or not because as things stand at the moment the banks and the government do not have to deal with a mortgagors interest group and this makes it easy for them to put work on a solution ‘on the long finger’. In our opinion we need about five thousand stressed mortgage holders to register  before we can kick on with an active lobby group. They see the following points as being their main topics of discussion; 

  •   Immediate establishment of mortgage arrears and negative equity solutions board to be made up of government, bank and mortgage representative personnel.
  • Mortgage writedowns to maximum 130% of present value.
  • Extension of interest only periods at existing interest rate  where required.
  • No further legal action following surrender of family home.
  • Extension of mortgage interest relief period. 

The company believes that with the right people in place an effective resolution programme could be drawn up within weeks and implemented by financial institutions over a three to six month period. A process like this will ensure that people with the same problems and circumstances in different parts of the country will be treated in exactly the same way. The company is asking mortgagors who are experiencing negative equity to register some basic details on a dedicated  page of it’s website and say the campaign could ultimately lead to a mortgage repayment strike. Website address;  www.blueskyfinancial.ie/debt-forgiveness/   

Assistance in Mortgage Arrears Documentation

 If you have difficulty in completing a mortgage arrears form for your bank. We offer this service; cost €100. Contact info@blueskyfinancial.ie  or any Blue Sky Financial office.  

Blue Sky to organise Mortgagors Debt Forgiveness Lobby

 Blue Sky to organise mortgage holders in fight for realistic debt forgiveness programme.

Blue Sky Financial this week announced that it is to start a campaign to bring together mortgage holders who are in arrears and negative equity  to form a pressure group which will push for an  immediate programme to bring real solutions to beleaguered home owners sooner rather than later. Blue Sky Financial C.E.O. Paddy Greene stated ‘’There have been rumblings that the government intends  doing  something for struggling home owners but it is clearly not a priority if we listen to conflicting recent statements from ministers. Their agreement seems to be uniform in one area however which is that there will be no blanket debt forgiveness. They also insist that lenders will examine for solutions on a case by case basis. I believe this approach has no credibility in terms of being a genuine attempt to alleviate the debt burden or having an acceptable time frame.’’ He went on to say that while blanket debt forgiveness may not be realistic there must be a ‘blanket debt forgiveness programme ‘which will ensure equality of treatment for mortgagors in similar circumstances. ‘ Ordinary individuals are clearly no match for experienced bank debt collectors which is why an independent ,uniform process must be put in place that banks simply have to comply with.’ , said Mr Greene who added that such a process could easily be in place by November  with its work completed by June 2012 if those involved are ‘serious’.   Blue Sky Financial hopes to have an application on its web site,(www.blueskyfinancial.ie) by this weekend which will allow mortgage holders to register their support and the site will be promoted by a limited advertising campaign.  If registrations exceed three thousand then Blue Sky will get active on lobbying the various stakeholders.

Global Strategy update

Global Strategy update - Second Greek bailout and the EU summit

Landlord to be pursued for not registering property

The GOVERNMENT recently announced a crackdown on landlords who are not keeping their properties up to standard or registering with the authorities.

The Private Residential Tenancies Board- The State body set up to regulate the rental sector- wrote to 1,400 non-compliant landlords last Friday threatening them with prosecution for not registering with its register of tenancies.  The board will brief its solicitors tomorrow with a view to bringing criminal prosecutons against landlords, who despte being notified, fail to register. 

As part of the Government’s strategy, Minister for housing Willie Penrose will also allocate €4 million today to local authorities to enable them to conduct inspections of private rented accommodation.

It is estimated about 20,000 local authorities insepctions will be conductd in 2011. They will check that all rented houses, apartments and flats comply with the national standards such as being in a good state of structural repair, absent from damp and have safe ventilation, heating and gas supplies.

Last year the State allocated €5.6 million to local authorities, which enabled them to conduct 21,614 inspections of private rented dwellings.  Financial pressures mean this year’s allocation to fund inspections is less. 

The Government, together with the tenancies board, is undertaking a major initiative to ensure that landlords are signed up to the register to make it easier to inspect and regulate properties.

It is prioritising an investigation into unregistered landlords, who have tenants that claim about €500 million in rent supplement from the State every year.  Using a new information technology system the board is cross-checking its records with those of the Department of Social Protection to ensure welfare payments are not going to unregistered landlords.  The investigation has so far found that up to 40 per cent of landlords in receipt of rent supplement may not be registered with the board’s register of tenancies.

Minister for Housing Willie Penrose told The Irish Times yesterday it was “highly unfair” to all good and responsible landlords that a large minority of landlords are flouting their legal obligation to register with the board.  He said he was committed to ensuring the money is only paid in respect of good quality accommodation and legally compliant landlords.”I will be encouraging the board to use the full extent of their legal powers to pursue those landlords that persist in not registering, via legal proceedings and prosecutions if necessary,” he said.

The board has issued eight summons for landlords to appear in court later this month for non registration, which is punishable with a criminal conviction of up to six months in prison or a hefty fine.

In the past six months, the tenancies board has secured seven criminal convictions against landlords who failed to register.  The court imposed fines of up to the maximum of €3,000, costs of up to €2,100 and up to 35 days imprisonment in the event of default in relation to the offence of not registering with the board.Â

Mortgage Market

First quarter mortgage lending figures point to further falls in house prices. The recent and increasingly regular utterances of the opinion that property prices have bottomed out should disappear for a considerable amount of time following the publication of first quarter mortgage lending figures by the Irish Bankers Federation recently.  Of course these ‘opinions’ which invariably originate from totally biased sources should always be viewed with suspicion but total mortgage lending of €0.58 billion for the first quarter of 2011 comes as a major shock to everyone involved in the mortgage/property market.  There have been ‘green shoots’ over the past six months and everyone knows that prices could not go any lower and don’t I recall one banking marketer telling us that his bank was approving four out of every five mortgage applications submitted to it.  So why are the figures so small?  The answer is not difficult to work out.  The first part is so basic that maybe many commentators think it is too simplistic.  This is supply and demand.  This theory suggests that if you have more product than customers for that product the price is going to fall.  In the case of housing where depending on who is talking we are told that there could be TEN years or more stock available then think ‘plummeting prices’.  The recent census figures have revealed almost 300,000 vacant housing units.  The bottom of the market tends only to arrive when these stocks have been depleted- so roll on 2016. 

The second part is interest rates.  The European Central Bank has indicated that interest rates in the euro zone will see regular rises over the next eighteen months.  When rates rise, demand for property falls and prices follow this trend.

The third part of the problem is finance or lack of it.  Yes the banks liquidity problem is being sorted out by the tax payer and they should have funds to lend but no, they are not going to lend on assets (house) which are falling in value.  It is completely alien (and in my opinion correctly so) for a bank to give a morgage of say €200,000 on an apartment which they believe might only be worth €150,000 in twelve months time. Would you expect a bank to lend you money right now to buy, say bank shares?  I don’t think so.

The fourth and last part is the borrower.  Most people will only take out a loan if they feel they have a good chance of paying it back.  If they are in some doubt they are more likely to leave it.  To feel reasonably confident for the medium term at least- say five years- and the number who feel that way at the moment is a pretty small one.  The borrower will also have major concerns about house prices falling further.  Clearly, reducing the current stock levels has to be the priority and this boils down to two options: sell (mainly to investors) or rent.  Investors, however, will only pay peanuts so renting is the only real option but tenants too want long term options as rent is still seen as dead money.  Banks need to get creative by, for example, adopting rent offsets and rebates on future puchase completions to entice buyers and get properties occupied now, otherwise widespread demolition may become an ugly feature of the landscape.�

Update on Rent to Buy

I would now say that as house prices continue to fall further as emphasised by April’s firesale of properties in Dublin, we estimate that upwards of 50,000 houses/apartments could be disposed of through a realistic deferred purchase (rent to buy) scheme within a reasonably short period i.e nine to twelve months.  Some estimates put the figure of finished and partly finished new buildings at up to three hundred thousand nationally.  The large majority of potential house buyers will not invest while prices are going down as they will not risk being in negative equity so they will only enter the market on a no lose deal.  The Blue Sky Deferred Purchase Scheme offers large scale occupancy immediately with a future commitment to buy once prices have stabilised. Achieving this occupancy will in fact be the single most effective means of achieving price stability as it is reducing available stock.

Banks and developers are now facing another major problem and that is the rapidly deteriorating state of much of the stock of new and partly finished properties.  Many of these are now lying unoccupied for over three years and are showing visible signs of lack of basic maintenance such as heating and ventilation.  Clearly it would be better to get these occupied sooner rather than later thus avoiding the need for a substantial spend on improvements or worse, complete demolition.

NEWS RELEASE: Appetite nationwide for “Rent to Buy” housing Scheme

-Blue Sky Financial reports major interest and urges developers banks, NAMA and Government to get on board-

R2B Press ReleaseIn an Irish housing market that we’ve come to describe as beleaguered, one of the country’s leading mortgage franchises, Blue Sky Financial reports today that over eight thousand potential buyers have signed up to its recently launched “Rent to Buy” Register and it estimates that in the region of sixty thousand people nationwide would have an interest in the scheme.

Speaking at the release of these figures, Charlie Kiernan, recently retired sales director with KBC Ireland and now a consultant to Blue Sky Financial stated that the response to the register had exceeded all expections. “We had targeted numbers in the region of three thousand, so a response of eight thousand is a staggering figure and it shows that our marketing campaign which used Google, Daft and Facebook as well as print media was very effective.”

Our research initially clearly identified that people are still willing to buy their homes, but they are not going to risk negative equity. So, we set about devising a solution heavily weighted towards assuring people that they would be protected if house prices should fall further,” said Kiernan.  The main features of the Blue Sky “Rent to Buy” Contract are that the price that will be paid for the proprty is today’s value, or, the value at a future date of purchase, whichever is the lower.  There is a 5 year option to purchase and most rents paid by the purchaser will be offset against the purchase price.

Blue Sky is urging all stakeholders including NAMA, banks, developers and government to push for a proactive inclusion of the “Rent to Buy” scheme and intends to approach these organistaions in the coming weeks. “Nobody is suggesting that “Rent to Buy” is the complete solution to the housing over-supply problem, but it can clearly form a substantial part of the solutiion”,  said Kiernan. “All interested parties should see that in the long run the Blue Sky scheme will actually serve to protect realistic property prices by improving occupancy rates. That’s the best news the housing market has had in ages,” he concluded.

“Those placing their names on the Blue Sky “Rent to Buy” Register will be assessed for mortgage qualification now,” said Paddy Greene, managing director of Blue Sky Financial. “Their suitability will be subject to continuous monitoring by us to ensure that they remain on tract to get their home loan as soon as possible.  It is vital that anyone wishing to register must prove suitable for a mortgage, as only those who do will be offered a property,” he said.

As empty new housing estates are becoming a common sight on the landscape, more and more developers are realising that ‘deferred purchase’ may be the only way to get occupancy levels up.  It is unlikely that activity levels in the housing market will experience any significant increase in the foreseeable future, particularly in the light of rising unemployment. With increased occupancy, developers will find it easier to sell their houses as well.

Several county councils have also shown interest in this solution as they seek to off-load properties acquired by them under the affordable housing scheme. Many of these houses were transferred to councils at the height of the boom and like all others their value have fallen even below cost.  The recent move by Dublin County Council will more than likely pave the way for the other councils to follow suit.

Greene explained that apart from demand for house buying which isn’t very strong currently, the overriding factor for the next two to three years will be funding.  “It is unlikely that available mortgage finance in Ireland will exceed €5bn per annum over the next three years. If you allow half of that to go to new properties then there is finance for about 10,000 units each year.  We have perhaps 300,000 units currently completed  so the maths tells us we need to find other options,” he said.

Blue Sky’s next phase will be marketing as a “Deferred Home Purchase Scheme” and developers  will be invited to offer their remaining units for sale through it.  Anyone wishing to register for the scheme is invited to visit www.blueskyfinancial.ie or contact any Blue Sky office nationwide on 1850 677 678.

RENT 2 BUY

The Blue Sky Rent 2 Buy register is attracting huge interest with potential buyers clearly of the same belief that prices will continue to fall over the next few years. There are over five thousand currently registered.  We are hoping to have further discussions with several banks and NAMA with the hope that Rent 2 Buy will form part of the solution to the current housing crisis.You can register on this website by clicking the Rent to Buy Section on our home page.